Binomial Distribution notes (Year 12)
Updated: Mar 22
The binomial distribution is a special type of discrete probability distribution, used to model a wide variety of situations.
Coin Tossing Example
I toss a biased coin 4 times. Suppose that P(head) = 0.3 and P(tail) = 0.7.
Let X be the number of heads obtained, so X is a discrete random variable. We are interested in the distribution of X i.e. what is P(X=x) for x=0, 1, 2, 3, 4.
Conditions for a Binomial Distribution Model
Fixed number (n) of trials ... here n=4
Trials must be independent ... here the coin tosses are indeed independent
Each trial has only two outcomes (success/failure) ... here we have head or tail
Probability of success (p) is constant for each trial ... here p=0.3 is constant
Probability Mass Function
If X is binomially distributed, write X~B(n, p) where X is the number of successes in the n trials and p is the probability of success for each trial.
The probabilities can be calculated using this formula:
Mean and Variance
The mean (or expected value) of the binomial distribution is given by np and the variance by np(1-p).
When questions are set in context there are different forms of words that can be used to ask for probabilities. The correct interpretation of these phrases is critical, especially when dealing with cumulative probabilities. The table below gives some examples.
The formula book contains Binomial Cumulative Distribution tables for certain values of n and p. Download the tables here.